Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. This years purse is set at $20,000,000, and some exciting players are in the field. The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. ORLANDO, FLORIDA - MARCH 06: Viktor Hovland of Norway plays a shot on the sixth hole during the final round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer Bay Hill Golf Course on March 06, 2022 in Orlando, Florida. Then it just comes down to the putter. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential WM Phoenix Open Longshot Picks Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 7, 2023 The greatest party in golf is Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. After missing the cut at the WM Phoenix Open, Tommy Fleetwood tied for 20th at the Genesis Invitational in his last start. Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. We hate touts. Golfweek - Adam Woodard 19h It pays to play well on the PGA Tour, just ask this weeks winner, Chris Kirk. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, Full Leaderboard . Without any further delay, lets get to our WM Phoenix Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. World No. The expert's two other longshots -- Austin Smotherman (65-1) and Hayden Buckley (80-1) -- both finished in the top 26. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. Bet with your head, not over it. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. 9 this week. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? For example, Kim was one of the most popular up-and-comers out of the gates in 2023. The PGA Tour schedule is full of peaks and valleys. Riley Hamel. Farmers: Jason Day. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). Gilliam County. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks to win, Keith Mitchell hits from the fourth hole tee during the third round of The Genesis Invitational golf tournament. Houston Open: Jason Day. We hate touts. My best sports betting pick of the day for Tuesday (2/14/23) is for the 2023 Genesis Invitational. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. Skip to main content. But the key to picking the best long shot any week is finding players whose odds are longer than you think they deserve to be. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. The expert also just missed a MASSIVE 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. >. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. Honda: Sungjae Im. It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. Golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad, who correctly called Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. American Express: Brian Harman. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. Looking at past winners, the average winning odds of the last five winners is +15900, with Jim Herman being the longest in 2020 at +60000 and Henrik Stenson having the shortest odds in 2017 at +1400. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. No, he is not a tout. >. That consistency with the irons is hard to come by this far down the board, and is a crucial skillset to have at TPC Scottsdale. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. Everything with his game is clicking right now. Getting cheeky with these parlays hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass up. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. RELATED: Phil Mickelson drops to depressingly low standing in the Official World Golf Ranking. Poston. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. Hes not backing down. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. For us this week, that man is Adam Scott. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. The odds arent pretty, but my gut tells me that either Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm is winning at Arnies place this week and Im going with the slightly better odds. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Hossler (+1500). Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. That may not sound like much, but for this price, that combination of tee-to-green consistency and course history prowess make a great formula for a top-40 push. Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. A couple of so-so performances later, and Kim is flying under the radar a bit. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. by Mastercard. Two prop bets Zozo: Sungjae Im. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. Top 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish Top 40 (+179). He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. While Fowler didnt pull off the victory, he played quite well, outperforming his long odds to finish the tournament at 10 under, nine shots off Scottie Schefflers winning score and good enough for a T10, which means if you bet on him to finish in the top 10 as we did, you made a little money. Tommy Fleetwood of England looks on from the fourth hole during the second round of the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale on February 10, 2023 in Scottsdale, Arizona. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. The Twitter handle is a joke. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. Skip to navigation. World No. There is no one way to attack TPC Scottsdale, however a profile of elite ball striking has been the common thread amongst contenders here over the years. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in! American Express: Cameron Young. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. Hes seen tangible improvements with the putter, gaining 21.07 strokes over his last 17 startscompared to losing 20.66 strokes in the 17 starts prior. For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Hes trending toward another victory. He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. | RoboTest, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Shriners: Sungjae Im. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Shipping on most Impact Label products This playercould pull off a STUNNING victory and cash in HUGE for anyone who backs him! This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. by Mastercard. WebSPRING SALE: All full size roll styles on sale for $29.95 each Limited Time FREE U.S. Ill always look Conners way at a ball-strikers course, as the Canadian ranks top-15 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP. WebThe Arnold Palmer Invitational is set to take place this week from March 2-5, 2023, at the Bay Hill Golf Course. 2022 Farmers Insurance Open: Longshot of the week As mentioned before, major winners can be found throughout the field this week. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) The concerns over Zalatoris health appear to be over after his immaculate ball-striking performance at The Genesis two weeks back. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. follow. Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Fax: (541) 454-2753. Not great when the conditions may call for a grinder. Contending into the weekend at The Farmers in his previous start, Steele is in great form heading into a course hes shown consistent success at over his career. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. The winner hasnt been better than 12 under in any of the past four years, with two single-digit under par victors. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. The PGA Tour schedule continues this week in Orlando, Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge. Tee times in this area. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. Skip to main content. Since a second-place finish at the Farmers Insurance Open, Keegan Bradley has tied for 20th at the WM Phoenix Open and missed the weekend at Riviera thanks to an opening-round 75. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. At the time, Fowler had long odds of +8000, which improved to +6600 before the start of the tournament on Thursday.
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